Key points of Market Call The Big Whale (September 2025): macro, Fed, Bitcoin, Ethereum, crypto derivatives, institutional adoption and market dynamics.

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Speakers

  • André Dragosch - Head of Research, Bitwise Europe
  • Joseph Chalom - Co-CEO, Sharplink
  • Aleksandar Bukovski - Analyst, The Big Whale
  • Raphaël Bloch - Co-Founder and Editor-in-Chief, The Big Whale

Macro & Fed

  • A Fed rate cut in September almost certain (Polymarket >95%).
  • Expected: 25 basis points, possibly 50 bps → steeper yield curve and increased liquidity, positive for Bitcoin and rare assets.
  • US and global money supply at historic levels.

Bitcoin vs Ethereum Treasuries

  • Rotation observed: capital moving from BTC to ETH, not towards altcoins.
  • Bitcoin Treasuries (ex: MSTR) very premium MNAV (1.3-1.4x) vs ETH Treasuries (1.1x).
  • Market still undervalues ETH staking yield and gamma opportunities.

Sharplink Strategy (Joseph Shalom)

  • $3.7bn in ETH, target: long-term accumulation, yield seen as a "bonus".
  • Differentiation: institutional team, links with ConsenSys (Joe Lubin as chairman), creation of operational companies in ETH.
  • Role of ETH as settlement layer for stablecoins and real assets (RWA) key to future growth.

Ethereum outlook

  • Post-Pectra: uncertainty over roadmap reduced.
  • Return staking tends towards LT equilibrium ~1.8%.
  • ETH volatility makes equity-linked and convertible structures attractive.
  • Sharplink sees a Ethereum macro cycle, not just a short-term fad.

Risks & Competition

  • Political instability in Europe signalled but not systemic.
  • Crypto not yet safe haven in crises - liquidity needs dominant.
  • Altcoin DATs (e.g. Solana) less relevant for institutions: ETH leader in DeFi, stablecoins & tokenisation.
  • DATs (Digital Asset Treasuries) = decadal opportunity: BTC = store of value, ETH = application layer → complementary.

Aleksandar Bukovski

Aleksandar Bukovski is an analyst at The Big Whale, specializing in decentralized finance and crypto-assets.

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